The market moved

+0.4ppin 24h · now

Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?

Geopolitics · resolves Jun 30 · vol $775.28

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 6¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.4pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.