Will Kristi Noem be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 22¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.8pp shift. Resolution depends on to the first individual to be formally nominated by the republican party for vice president of the united states in the — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the — https://www.gop.com.
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.