Will Lennar Q2 deliveries be above 17,500?

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 18.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.