The market moved
+0.2ppin 24h · now 98¢
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
Sports · resolves Jul 19 · vol $7.6K
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 98¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.2pp shift. Resolution depends on fifa.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: fifa.com — https://www.fifa.com/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.