The market moved
-1.6ppin 24h · now 86¢
Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?
Politics · resolves Aug 6 · vol $848.54
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 86¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.6pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: nato.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.