Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?
Probability
69¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$50.00
Liquidity
$19.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 69¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 2452h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $19.9k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 2452.3h
- 19:44SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 2452h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+1.0pp over the last 24h, now 69¢.
Biggest hourly move: +3.0pp at 1d ago (to 69¢).
Show all 3 hour-by-hour ticks
- 1d ago · +3.0pp → 69¢
- 1d ago · +3.0pp → 69¢
- 1d ago · +3.0pp → 69¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Tennessee. If no 2026 Tennessee Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Tennessee Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Aug 6, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- natoOfficial government sourceextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.