The market moved
-0.5ppin 24h · now 5¢
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Other · resolves Oct 31 · vol $1.3K
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 5¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the winner of the 2026 ballon d’or — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or — https://www.francefootball.fr/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.