OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Oct 31, 2026

Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Probability

15¢

+0.0pp

24h

+1.0pp

24h Vol

$712.18

Liquidity

$18.9K

Probability (last 7 days)

+1.5pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 10:00Apr 25, 2026, 09:17

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 4526.7h
LOW
09:17Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 4527h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
16:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 14¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -4.0pp
to 14¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -3.5pp
to 15¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability up 3.0pp
to 17¢
MEDIUM
4d agoPrice
Probability up 3.0pp
to 17¢
MEDIUM
4d agoPrice
Probability up 3.0pp
to 17¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventBallon d'Or Winner 2026

Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Oct 31, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket