Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 79¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 18.9pp shift. Resolution depends on announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual purchases were made — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual purchases were made — https://www.strategy.com/purchases.
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.