The market moved

-0.5ppin 24h · now 24¢

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Politics · resolves Jan 3 · vol $25.56

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 24¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on statements from mitch mcconnell — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Statements from Mitch McConnell.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.