The market moved

-2.0ppin 24h · now

Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in April?

Other · resolves Apr 30 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the total precipitation in inches in central park, new york city between april 1 and april 30, 2026, 11:59pm et accor — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET accor — https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.