The market moved

-0.3ppin 24h · now

Will Oliver rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Other · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.3pp shift. Resolution depends on to the male name ranked #1 in the u — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the male name ranked #1 in the U — https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.