Will Oliver rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.1pp
24h Vol
$35.11
Liquidity
$4.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 01:13SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 90¢+0.3pp
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
Other · Vol $1.5K
- 9¢+0.3pp
Will Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 1¢+0.1pp
Will Theodore rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
Other · Vol $34.61
- 1¢0.0pp
Will James rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Henry rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Mateo rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
Other · Vol $41.83
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Elijah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-0.4pp
Will Lucas rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 76¢+50.0pp
Lakers vs. Rockets
Other · Vol $5.4M
- 83¢+10.0pp
Celtics vs. 76ers
Other · Vol $5.0M
- 55¢0.0pp
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
Other · Vol $3.8M
- 0¢-52.4pp
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?
Other · Vol $2.9M
- 11¢-42.0pp
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
Other · Vol $2.6M
- 2¢-1.2pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.1M
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the male name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2025
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the male name ranked #1 in the UAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).