The market moved

-4.5ppin 24h · now 11¢

Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?

AI · resolves Dec 31 · vol $775.92

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 11¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to "yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by openai by december 31, 2026, 11:59 pm — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM .
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-4.5pp · Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026? | Orrery