The market moved
+0.5ppin 24h · now 21¢
Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Other · resolves Jul 30 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 21¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: credible reporting — https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.