The market moved
-1.0ppin 24h · now 20¢
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Other · resolves Dec 31 · vol $139.39
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 20¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: credible reporting.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.