The market moved
-0.9ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?
Science · resolves Apr 30 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.9pp shift. Resolution depends on to the number of spacex launches between april 1, 2026, 12:00am et and april 30, 2026, 11:59pm et — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the number of SpaceX launches between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET — https://www.spacex.com/launches.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.