Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 6¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on the calendar month (et) in 2026 in which spacex’s initial public offering (ipo) occurs — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.