The market moved
+2.1ppin 24h · now 98¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Business · resolves Dec 31 · vol $7.1K
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 98¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.1pp shift. Resolution depends on spacex's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.