The market moved
+4.5ppin 24h · now 48¢
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B?
Crypto · resolves Feb 28 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 48¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on bureau of economic — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Bureau of Economic — https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.