The market moved

+5.0ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?

Geopolitics · resolves Jun 19 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 5.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the change in the key rate resulting from the bank of russia’s june meeting, relative to the level it was prior to th — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to th — https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.