The market moved
-6.3ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?
Other · resolves May 5 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 6.3pp shift. Resolution depends on to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the reserve bank of australia monetary policy board’s may m — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s May m — https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.