The market moved
+6.0ppin 24h · now 47¢
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
AI · resolves Jul 1 · vol $3.8K
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 47¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 6.0pp shift. Resolution depends on us government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: US government — https://www.anthropic.com/news/fable-mythos-access).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.