The market moved
-6.0ppin 24h · now 9¢
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?
Geopolitics · resolves May 15 · vol $32.6K
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 9¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 6.0pp shift. Directional flow is consistent with new information being priced in; the underlying source isn't tagged in the market metadata.
What to verify
- No resolution source was tagged in the market metadata — read the question text on Polymarket carefully before acting.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 43.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.