The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

Geopolitics · resolves May 15 · vol $335.0K

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 1¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Directional flow is consistent with new information being priced in; the underlying source isn't tagged in the market metadata.

What to verify

  • No resolution source was tagged in the market metadata — read the question text on Polymarket carefully before acting.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 41.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+0.0pp · Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? | Orrery