The market moved
+59.5ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Trump say "Caspian Sea" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?
Geopolitics · resolves Nov 6 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 59.5pp shift. Resolution depends on reuters — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Reuters — https://thediplomat.com/2025/10/washington-to-host-central-asian-leaders-on-november-6).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.