The market moved
+0.9ppin 24h · now 97¢
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by June 5?
Macro · resolves Jun 30 · vol $65.11
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 97¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.9pp shift. Resolution depends on the data available at that time — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the data available at that time — https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.