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OtherExpires Jun 30, 2026

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by June 5?

Probability

54¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$145.53

Liquidity

$3.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

+9.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 12:00Apr 25, 2026, 10:20
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1573.6h

    LOW
  • 10:21Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 1574h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 07:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 58¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 4d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 4d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 4d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 4d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 4d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 4d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 4d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 4d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 4d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value for any week ending on or before June 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before June 5, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached. If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before June 5 2026, by June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W. Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Jun 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
  • Wide spread (14.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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