Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by June 5?
Probability
54¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$145.53
Liquidity
$3.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
+9.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1573.6h
- 10:21SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1574h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 54¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 54¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 57¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 54¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 54¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 55¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 58¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 54¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 54¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 54¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 54¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 54¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 55¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 55¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 55¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 56¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 56¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 56¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 54¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 54¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 54¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 52¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value for any week ending on or before June 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before June 5, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached. If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before June 5 2026, by June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W. Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (14.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).