The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now 11¢

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

Politics · resolves Dec 31 · vol $12.56

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 11¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on chinese government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Chinese government.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+0.0pp · Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? | Orrery