Orrery Pulse

Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

29% current
7D range
26-31%
Net move
+0.5pp
24h volume
$0
7 day implied probability chart
May 1150% decision lineMay 18

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.