Orrery Pulse

Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

46% current
7D range
46-49%
Net move
-1.0pp
24h volume
$0
7 day implied probability chart
Jul 2250% decision lineJul 29

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.