Market workbench
Expired, unresolvedYES92%-0.9pp / 24h
Price history123 points
SourceNews consensusconsensus of credible reporting
Signals1active rows
Flow0no recent tape
Next checkVerify finalityCheck official resolution before sharing the result.
Market detail
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?
Live probability, source state, book quality, resolution context, and follow-up checks in one read-only packet.
Expiry passed and the market has not been officially resolved. Do not treat the price as the outcome.
Verification chain
The market detail separates price from evidence.
Orrery reads source state, book quality, flow, resolution rules, and next checkpoint before treating probability as useful context.
Verification checkpointsPrice read last
Status
Expired, unresolvedreviewExpiry is in the past but upstream has not confirmed a resolution.
Source
News consensusreviewconsensus of credible reporting
Book
4¢ spreadreview$20.6K liquidity and $15.9K 24h volume.
Flow
No trade tapereviewMarket has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
Rules
Expired, unresolvedreviewExpiry passed and the market has not been officially resolved. Do not treat the price as the outcome.
Method
Opportunity linkedreviewMethodology evidence is attached below.
Next
Verify finalityreviewCheck official resolution before sharing the result.
Methodology evidencePaper-only
review-onlyResolution-source riskResolution review required
Review-only opportunity
40% source confidence on this opportunity row.
Activity
Recent flow stays context, not instruction.
Trades and signals help explain what changed. They do not become a recommendation or execution surface.
Recent trade tape0 rows
No recent trades loaded
Orrery can still read market state and source context.
Attached signals1 rows
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
Send this market back into the working system.
Use Scanner for ranked review, Terminal for the live tape, or Methodology for the read order behind this page.