Markets

Advancing

Declining

24h Volume

$5.2M

Liquidity

$5.5M

SourcePolymarket Gamma·UpdatedJul 20, 03:40 UTC·updated just now·Snapshotsnap_2026-07-20T03-40Z

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Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
MacroLIVEhigh
93¢
-1.1
Vol 24h: $540.0K
Liq: $591.7K
Expires: 9d
Open detail
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
MacroLIVEhigh
6¢
+1.6
Vol 24h: $402.8K
Liq: $256.7K
Expires: 9d
Open detail
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
GeopoliticsLIVEhigh
10¢
-1.0
Vol 24h: $363.3K
Liq: $217.0K
Expires: Dec 31, 2027
Open detail
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
SportsLIVEhigh
7¢
-38.3
Vol 24h: $362.2K
Liq: $153.3K
Expires: Oct 31, 2026
Open detail
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
SportsLIVEhigh
42¢
+27.2
Vol 24h: $277.9K
Liq: $63.6K
Expires: Oct 31, 2026
Open detail
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
SportsLIVEhigh
32¢
+2.6
Vol 24h: $268.8K
Liq: $79.6K
Expires: Oct 31, 2026
Open detail
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
PoliticsLIVEhigh
74¢
-1.3
Vol 24h: $255.2K
Liq: $80.4K
Expires: Dec 31, 2026
Open detail
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
GeopoliticsLIVEhigh
31¢
+2.0
Vol 24h: $244.2K
Liq: $682.2K
Expires: Dec 31, 2026
Open detail
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
GeopoliticsLIVEhigh
14¢
+4.0
Vol 24h: $222.0K
Liq: $196.7K
Expires: Aug 31, 2026
Open detail
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
BusinessLIVEhigh
48¢
+9.8
Vol 24h: $164.9K
Liq: $49.0K
Expires: Oct 31, 2026
Open detail
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
BusinessLIVEhigh
31¢
-3.0
Vol 24h: $127.5K
Liq: $52.4K
Expires: Oct 31, 2026
Open detail
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
SportsLIVEhigh
8¢
+4.5
Vol 24h: $123.7K
Liq: $65.7K
Expires: Oct 31, 2026
Open detail
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
SportsLIVEhigh
7¢
0.0
Vol 24h: $118.4K
Liq: $183.1K
Expires: Jul 1, 2027
Open detail
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
GeopoliticsLIVEhigh
11¢
0.0
Vol 24h: $117.1K
Liq: $633.9K
Expires: Dec 31, 2026
Open detail
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
BusinessLIVEhigh
12¢
-2.0
Vol 24h: $112.2K
Liq: $49.0K
Expires: Oct 31, 2026
Open detail
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?
CryptoLIVEhigh
24¢
0.0
Vol 24h: $109.7K
Liq: $70.7K
Expires: Jan 1, 2027
Open detail
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
BusinessLIVEhigh
8¢
-2.2
Vol 24h: $100.8K
Liq: $42.2K
Expires: Oct 31, 2026
Open detail
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
GeopoliticsLIVEhigh
33¢
-1.5
Vol 24h: $93.6K
Liq: $24.8K
Expires: 12d
Open detail
Will Riley Greene lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?
SportsILLIQUIDlow
2¢
+0.3
Vol 24h: $93.0K
Liq: $275.72
Expires: Sep 28, 2026
Open detail
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
GeopoliticsLIVEhigh
26¢
+1.0
Vol 24h: $92.3K
Liq: $61.1K
Expires: 11d
Open detail

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

MacroLIVEhigh

Vol $540.0KLiq $591.7KExpires 9dSpread 0.1¢

Prob

93¢

+0.3-1.1

Open

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

MacroLIVEhigh

Vol $402.8KLiq $256.7KExpires 9dSpread 0.1¢

Prob

6¢

-0.2+1.6

Open

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

GeopoliticsLIVEhigh

Vol $363.3KLiq $217.0KExpires Dec 31, 2027Spread 1.0¢

Prob

10¢

0.0-1.0

Open

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

SportsLIVEhigh

Vol $362.2KLiq $153.3KExpires Oct 31, 2026Spread 0.5¢

Prob

7¢

-0.3-38.3

Open

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

SportsLIVEhigh

Vol $277.9KLiq $63.6KExpires Oct 31, 2026Spread 1.2¢

Prob

42¢

+1.7+27.2

Open

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

SportsLIVEhigh

Vol $268.8KLiq $79.6KExpires Oct 31, 2026Spread 0.2¢

Prob

32¢

+0.7+2.6

Open

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

PoliticsLIVEhigh

Vol $255.2KLiq $80.4KExpires Dec 31, 2026Spread 0.8¢

Prob

74¢

-0.3-1.3

Open

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

GeopoliticsLIVEhigh

Vol $244.2KLiq $682.2KExpires Dec 31, 2026Spread 1.0¢

Prob

31¢

0.0+2.0

Open

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

GeopoliticsLIVEhigh

Vol $222.0KLiq $196.7KExpires Aug 31, 2026Spread 1.0¢

Prob

14¢

0.0+4.0

Open

Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

BusinessLIVEhigh

Vol $164.9KLiq $49.0KExpires Oct 31, 2026Spread 0.3¢

Prob

48¢

-1.6+9.8

Open

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

BusinessLIVEhigh

Vol $127.5KLiq $52.4KExpires Oct 31, 2026Spread 0.1¢

Prob

31¢

+1.1-3.0

Open

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

SportsLIVEhigh

Vol $123.7KLiq $65.7KExpires Oct 31, 2026Spread 0.5¢

Prob

8¢

-0.1+4.5

Open

Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?

SportsLIVEhigh

Vol $118.4KLiq $183.1KExpires Jul 1, 2027Spread 0.1¢

Prob

7¢

0.00.0

Open

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

GeopoliticsLIVEhigh

Vol $117.1KLiq $633.9KExpires Dec 31, 2026Spread 1.0¢

Prob

11¢

0.00.0

Open

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

BusinessLIVEhigh

Vol $112.2KLiq $49.0KExpires Oct 31, 2026Spread 0.1¢

Prob

12¢

-0.3-2.0

Open

Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?

CryptoLIVEhigh

Vol $109.7KLiq $70.7KExpires Jan 1, 2027Spread 1.0¢

Prob

24¢

0.00.0

Open

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

BusinessLIVEhigh

Vol $100.8KLiq $42.2KExpires Oct 31, 2026Spread 0.1¢

Prob

8¢

-0.1-2.2

Open

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

GeopoliticsLIVEhigh

Vol $93.6KLiq $24.8KExpires 12dSpread 2.0¢

Prob

33¢

-0.5-1.5

Open

Will Riley Greene lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?

SportsILLIQUIDlow

Vol $93.0KLiq $275.72Expires Sep 28, 2026Spread 3.3¢

Prob

2¢

-0.1+0.3

Open

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

GeopoliticsLIVEhigh

Vol $92.3KLiq $61.1KExpires 11dSpread 1.0¢

Prob

26¢

0.0+1.0

Open

Top 20 markets · ranked by 24h volume · server-rendered snapshot

Market	Category	Status	Confidence	Prob	Δ1h	Δ24h	Vol 24h	Liq	Expiry
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Macro	LIVE	high	93¢	+0.3	-1.1	$540.0K	$591.7K	Jul 29, 2026
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Macro	LIVE	high	6¢	-0.2	+1.6	$402.8K	$256.7K	Jul 29, 2026
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Geopolitics	LIVE	high	10¢	0.0	-1.0	$363.3K	$217.0K	Dec 31, 2027
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	LIVE	high	7¢	-0.3	-38.3	$362.2K	$153.3K	Oct 31, 2026
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	LIVE	high	42¢	+1.7	+27.2	$277.9K	$63.6K	Oct 31, 2026
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	LIVE	high	32¢	+0.7	+2.6	$268.8K	$79.6K	Oct 31, 2026
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	LIVE	high	74¢	-0.3	-1.3	$255.2K	$80.4K	Dec 31, 2026
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Geopolitics	LIVE	high	31¢	0.0	+2.0	$244.2K	$682.2K	Dec 31, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Geopolitics	LIVE	high	14¢	0.0	+4.0	$222.0K	$196.7K	Aug 31, 2026
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Business	LIVE	high	48¢	-1.6	+9.8	$164.9K	$49.0K	Oct 31, 2026
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Business	LIVE	high	31¢	+1.1	-3.0	$127.5K	$52.4K	Oct 31, 2026
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	LIVE	high	8¢	-0.1	+4.5	$123.7K	$65.7K	Oct 31, 2026
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Sports	LIVE	high	7¢	0.0	0.0	$118.4K	$183.1K	Jul 1, 2027
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Geopolitics	LIVE	high	11¢	0.0	0.0	$117.1K	$633.9K	Dec 31, 2026
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Business	LIVE	high	12¢	-0.3	-2.0	$112.2K	$49.0K	Oct 31, 2026
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	LIVE	high	24¢	0.0	0.0	$109.7K	$70.7K	Jan 1, 2027
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Business	LIVE	high	8¢	-0.1	-2.2	$100.8K	$42.2K	Oct 31, 2026
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	Geopolitics	LIVE	high	33¢	-0.5	-1.5	$93.6K	$24.8K	Jul 31, 2026
Will Riley Greene lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?	Sports	ILLIQUID	low	2¢	-0.1	+0.3	$93.0K	$275.72	Sep 28, 2026
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?	Geopolitics	LIVE	high	26¢	0.0	+1.0	$92.3K	$61.1K	Jul 31, 2026