World Cup
World Cup resolution risk
The post-match trap: a market can be priced like an outcome before it is officially settled. Use this page to verify source, expiry, and settlement state.
Jun 11-Jul 19, 2026Market tracker
Markets to verify
10 rows01Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ends Jul 20, 2026 · $3.6M 24h volume40¢-1.5pp
24h moveNear expiry02Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ends Jul 20, 2026 · $1.4M 24h volume59¢+0.8pp
24h moveNear expiry03World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Ends Jul 20, 2026 · $273.3K 24h volume>99¢+0.2pp
24h movePinned near YES04Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ends Jul 20, 2026 · $203.0K 24h volume58¢-2.5pp
24h moveNear expiry05Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ends Jul 20, 2026 · $293.3K 24h volume<1¢+0.4pp
24h movePinned near NO06Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ends Jul 20, 2026 · $155.8K 24h volume42¢+2.0pp
24h moveNear expiry07Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ends Jul 20, 2026 · $240.3K 24h volume2¢-0.8pp
24h movePinned near NO08Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ends Jul 20, 2026 · $190.1K 24h volume2¢+0.1pp
24h movePinned near NO09President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?Ends Jul 20, 2026 · $123.6K 24h volume97¢-0.3pp
24h moveNear expiry10Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ends Jul 20, 2026 · $124.8K 24h volume<1¢-0.1pp
24h movePinned near NO
24h moveNear expiry02Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ends Jul 20, 2026 · $1.4M 24h volume59¢+0.8pp
24h moveNear expiry03World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Ends Jul 20, 2026 · $273.3K 24h volume>99¢+0.2pp
24h movePinned near YES04Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ends Jul 20, 2026 · $203.0K 24h volume58¢-2.5pp
24h moveNear expiry05Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ends Jul 20, 2026 · $293.3K 24h volume<1¢+0.4pp
24h movePinned near NO06Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ends Jul 20, 2026 · $155.8K 24h volume42¢+2.0pp
24h moveNear expiry07Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ends Jul 20, 2026 · $240.3K 24h volume2¢-0.8pp
24h movePinned near NO08Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ends Jul 20, 2026 · $190.1K 24h volume2¢+0.1pp
24h movePinned near NO09President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?Ends Jul 20, 2026 · $123.6K 24h volume97¢-0.3pp
24h moveNear expiry10Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ends Jul 20, 2026 · $124.8K 24h volume<1¢-0.1pp
24h movePinned near NO
Verification checklist
- 1. Check whether the market is officially resolved, not just near 99c.
- 2. Read the contract wording: regulation time, extra time, penalties, qualification.
- 3. Check source or UMA state before treating price as outcome.
- 4. Prefer public-source confirmation over screenshots.