Brief

Orrery Daily Brief

The one-page morning radar for prediction markets.

What moved prediction markets — each morning, one page.

Biggest probability moves, unusual volume, smart-money flow, today's event calendar, and markets with resolution risk. Free. No upsells.

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Live preview · what today's brief would include

200 markets scanned

1 · Biggest probability moves (24h)

-61.5pp
Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Kopriva
Now 14¢ · Other · Vol $390.6K
-60.5pp
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmic
Now 0¢ · Other · Vol $1.1M
-59.0pp
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha
Now 0¢ · Other · Vol $170.7K
-53.4pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?
Now 0¢ · Other · Vol $1.2M
+51.9pp
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?
Now 100¢ · Other · Vol $186.5K

2 · Unusual volume

18.3×
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titans
$1.2M traded on $62.7K liquidity
17.7×
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
$977.4K traded on $55.1K liquidity
16.9×
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
$875.8K traded on $51.9K liquidity

3 · Smart-money flow

Whale-trade clustering and wallet-quality-weighted flow land with the signal engine. Today's brief labels this section pending rather than guess.

4 · Today's event calendar

FOMC, CPI, earnings, major sporting events — pulled from a curated public calendar and mapped to the markets that react. Shipping with news ingestion.

5 · Markets with resolution risk

Markets expiring within 72h, active UMA disputes, ambiguous resolution source, or wide spread at expiry.