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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on March 21? risk

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RiskHighresolution state
DeadlineMar 21, 2026market end date
Probability0%current implied price
SourceAttachedresolution source
Verification checkpointsResearch only

Resolution source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT

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Contract wording

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Deadline

Deadline and UMA state should stay visible on shared context.

Mar 21, 2026Track

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Share as research context, never as an action prompt.

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