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Opportunities

Edge-scored watchlist

Markets where multiple factors line up — ranked by a transparent composite score. Not trading recommendations; each row suggests a next step you can verify.

How Edge Score works

Blended from: best signal confidence (up to +45), multi-kind bonus (+6 per additional signal kind, capped at +12), liquidity (log-scaled, up to +15), tight-spread factor (up to +10), minus a resolution-risk penalty (−10). The confidence column tells you how believable the score itself is given the market's structure. We never show "buy" or "sell" — only a next step you can verify.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Gamma·Polymarket Data

Ranked opportunities · top 20

20
MarketProbΔ24hSignalsLiqCapacityHorizonEdgeConfNext step
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alex de Minaur
Other
98¢+48.5pp
momentum
$115.6K~$9.2K24h
64
HIGHWatch closely
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner
Other
0¢-40.0pp
momentumresolution_risk
$241.7K~$19.3K4h
62
HIGHVerify resolution source
Madrid Open: Caty McNally vs Victoria Mboko
Other
100¢+77.5pp
momentumresolution_risk
$230.4K~$18.4K24h
61
HIGHVerify resolution source
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-24?
Other
89¢+15.0pp
momentumresolution_risk
$66.0K~$5.3K24h
59
HIGHVerify resolution source
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24?
Other
96¢+24.0pp
momentumresolution_risk
$40.3K~$3.2K24h
58
HIGHVerify resolution source
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Other
56¢+44.0pp
momentumresolution_risk
$35.9K~$2.9K24h
58
HIGHVerify resolution source
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
Other
10¢-23.0pp
momentumresolution_risk
$38.1K~$3.0K4h
58
HIGHVerify resolution source
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Tomas Machac
Other
49¢+3.5pp
divergence
$79.5K~$6.4K6h
56
HIGHInspect timeline
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-04-24?
Other
3¢-6.0pp
momentumresolution_risk
$48.4K~$3.9K24h
53
HIGHVerify resolution source
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Other
98¢+3.6pp
momentumresolution_risk
$239.0K~$19.1K24h
52
HIGHVerify resolution source
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Other
6¢-3.0pp
momentumresolution_risk
$256.9K~$20.6K24h
49
HIGHVerify resolution source
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 24?
Other
100¢+12.4pp
resolution_risk
$384.2K~$30.7K24h
48
MEDIUMVerify resolution source
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 24?
Other
0¢-6.5pp
resolution_risk
$386.1K~$30.9K24h
48
MEDIUMVerify resolution source
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?
Other
0¢-43.4pp
resolution_risk
$259.6K~$20.8K24h
47
MEDIUMVerify resolution source
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 24?
Other
100¢+0.8pp
resolution_risk
$364.8K~$29.2K24h
47
MEDIUMVerify resolution source
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Other
23¢+3.5pp
momentumresolution_risk
$79.9K~$6.4K24h
47
HIGHVerify resolution source
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 24?
Other
100¢+2.8pp
resolution_risk
$361.7K~$28.9K24h
47
MEDIUMVerify resolution source
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 24?
Other
0¢-0.8pp
resolution_risk
$377.6K~$30.2K24h
47
MEDIUMVerify resolution source
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 24?
Other
100¢+0.1pp
resolution_risk
$354.0K~$28.3K24h
47
MEDIUMVerify resolution source
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
Other
54¢+1.0pp
divergenceresolution_risk
$1.0M~$81.1K6h
44
HIGHVerify resolution source

Honest caveats

  • Not a trade signal. Edge Score is a multi-factor ranking, not a forecast. Use the suggested next step — watch, verify, alert, compare — to validate independently.
  • Capacity is an estimate. ~8% of visible liquidity. Real capacity depends on the depth of the order book at the moment you place a trade, which this view doesn't see.
  • Horizon is a heuristic. Flow + divergence edges play out in hours; momentum in days. Expiry dominates if closer.
  • No execution costs modeled. Spread + Polymarket fees eat into any nominal edge.