Resolution Watch
Markets where the next material event is settlement, not new information. Three explicit sub-buckets so the page never mixes 'expires in 12 hours, get ready' with 'expired three weeks ago, still in dispute' with 'pinned at 100¢ but not closed'.
Expiring soon · next 72h
5Endpoints crossing in the next three days. Resolution source matters more than directional move here.
- 7h
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs
Expires May 18, 2026
75¢ - 9h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?
Expires May 18, 2026
84¢ - 12h
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?
Expires May 18, 2026
90¢ - 17h
Spurs vs. Thunder
Expires May 19, 2026
33¢ - 29h
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Expires May 19, 2026
9¢
Past expiry · awaiting UMA
4End date passed but the market hasn't closed cleanly — typically waiting on UMA, a dispute, or an ambiguous resolution rule.
Looks settled · 0¢ / 100¢ pinned
5Pinned at the rail with real volume — the outcome is effectively decided. Verify before treating any move as new information.
- ≈ YES
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
Expires May 15, 2026 · UMA disputed
100¢ - ≈ NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Expires May 15, 2026 · UMA disputed
1¢ - ≈ NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Expires May 15, 2026 · UMA disputed
1¢ - ≈ YES
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
Expires Dec 31, 2026 · UMA disputed
100¢ - ≈ NO
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Expires Jul 20, 2026
0¢