Resolution Watch
Markets where the next material event is settlement, not new information. Three explicit sub-buckets so the page never mixes 'expires in 12 hours, get ready' with 'expired three weeks ago, still in dispute' with 'pinned at 100¢ but not closed'.
Resolution trust rule
Price is not settlement. Orrery treats resolution watch as a data quality surface: stale expiry rows are withheld, past-expiry markets are separated from next-72h work, and pinned rail prices still need source or UMA confirmation before they are cited as final.
Expiring soon · next 72h
5Endpoints crossing in the next three days. Resolution source matters more than directional move here.
Past expiry · awaiting UMA
5End date passed but the market hasn't closed cleanly — typically waiting on UMA, a dispute, or an ambiguous resolution rule.
- past
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants
Expires Jun 21, 2026
53¢ - past
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics
Expires Jun 21, 2026
43¢ - past
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Expires Jun 20, 2026
95¢ - past
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals
Expires Jun 20, 2026
44¢ - 1h ago
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
Expires Jun 14, 2026
62¢
Looks settled · 0¢ / 100¢ pinned
5Pinned at the rail with real volume — the outcome is effectively decided. Verify before treating any move as new information.
- ≈ NO
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Expires Jun 13, 2026 · UMA proposed
0¢ - ≈ NO
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Expires Jul 20, 2026
0¢ - ≈ NO
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
Expires Jun 13, 2026 · UMA proposed
0¢ - ≈ YES
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Expires Jun 13, 2026 · UMA proposed
100¢ - ≈ NO
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Expires Jul 20, 2026
1¢