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Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on July 12? risk

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RiskHighresolution state
DeadlineJul 12, 2026market end date
Probability0%current implied price
SourceAttachedresolution source
Verification checkpointsResearch only

Resolution source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB

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Contract wording

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Deadline

Deadline and UMA state should stay visible on shared context.

Jul 12, 2026Track

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Share as research context, never as an action prompt.

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