Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?
3 markets in this event family · $475.0K 24h volume · $73.6K liquidity. Share the URL anywhere — the rich preview card shows the cluster's biggest mover with one glance.
$475.1K
3 markets · liq $75.4K
9.4pp
Mean |24h move|
1
Markets ≥5pp 24h
$0.00
0 trades ≥$5k
0
Active UMA dispute / pending
0
Settlement positioning risk
All markets in this cluster
3Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Vol $19.6K · Liq $36.7K
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Vol $455.5K · Liq $38.7K
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?
Vol $0.00 · Liq $0.00
| Market | Prob | Δ24h | Vol | Liq |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | 41¢ | +23.0 | $19.6K | $36.7K |
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31? | 13¢ | +4.3 | $455.5K | $38.7K |
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15? | 0¢ | -0.8 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
About this event
Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.