The market moved

-24.0ppin 24h · now 26¢

Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?

Sports · resolves May 23 · vol $54.74

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 26¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 24.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://hltv.org.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 14.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.