The market moved
+36.8ppin 24h · now 97¢
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $385 on May 21?
Business · resolves May 21 · vol $822.41
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 97¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 36.8pp shift. Resolution depends on split-adjusted prices as displayed on yahoo finance — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance — https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/history.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 0.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.