The market moved
-8.5ppin 24h · now 2¢
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $400 on May 21?
Business · resolves May 21 · vol $157.00
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.5pp shift. Resolution depends on split-adjusted prices as displayed on yahoo finance — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance — https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/history.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.