The market moved
-11.5ppin 24h · now 6¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on May 21?
Weather · resolves May 21 · vol $26.50
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 6¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 11.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 27.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.