The market moved
+9.0ppin 24h · now 23¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 21?
Weather · resolves May 21 · vol $161.24
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 23¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 9.0pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 27.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.