The market moved

+3.5ppin 24h · now 91¢

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Other · resolves Jun 2 · vol $155.09

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 91¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.