The market moved
-0.5ppin 24h · now 26¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 31?
Weather · resolves May 31 · vol $15.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 26¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 25.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.