The market moved
-5.5ppin 24h · now 20¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C or below on May 25?
Weather · resolves May 25 · vol $79.30
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 20¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 5.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.