The market moved
-14.7ppin 24h · now 3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 25?
Weather · resolves May 25 · vol $46.74
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 14.7pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 36.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.