The market moved
-1.8ppin 24h · now 92¢
Will Meta (META) finish week of May 18 above $570?
Other · resolves May 22 · vol $1.01
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 92¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.8pp shift. Resolution depends on split-adjusted prices as displayed on yahoo finance — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance — https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/history.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 12.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.