Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 43¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on mlb.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: MLB.com.
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 3.7h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.